Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.153957 0.170211 0.186806 0.204977 0.224275 0.244120 0.266032
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.134338 0.157023 0.180995 0.208083 0.237712 0.269014 0.304460
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.118184 0.145230 0.174689 0.208887 0.247221 0.288612 0.336427
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.105813 0.136182 0.170187 0.210612 0.256897 0.307800 0.367581
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.094188 0.126822 0.164347 0.209963 0.263213 0.322753 0.393703
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087016 0.121985 0.163146 0.214151 0.274672 0.343274 0.426002
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.079241 0.115718 0.159667 0.215157 0.282041 0.358844 0.452495
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.072135 0.109684 0.155966 0.215459 0.288230 0.372801 0.476977
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.065203 0.103315 0.151381 0.214268 0.292296 0.384022 0.498101
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060173 0.099052 0.149121 0.215674 0.299294 0.398581 0.523088
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057589 0.097876 0.150667 0.221744 0.311957 0.419923 0.556201
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053153 0.093800 0.148146 0.222404 0.317735 0.432843 0.579192
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049930 0.091374 0.147863 0.226122 0.327658 0.451259 0.609445
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046240 0.087999 0.146091 0.227741 0.334837 0.466293 0.635658
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042283 0.083923 0.143118 0.227577 0.339604 0.478279 0.658151
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039110 0.080798 0.141284 0.228790 0.346048 0.492310 0.683171
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035538 0.076762 0.137924 0.227737 0.349399 0.502376 0.703263
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033748 0.075465 0.138427 0.231931 0.359620 0.521130 0.734209
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.031218 0.072736 0.136669 0.232857 0.365429 0.534247 0.758133
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028715 0.069848 0.134513 0.233093 0.370228 0.546028 0.780380
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.026047 0.066438 0.131382 0.231790 0.372839 0.554927 0.798966
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024219 0.064385 0.130227 0.233241 0.379135 0.568573 0.823588
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023587 0.064502 0.132454 0.239613 0.392199 0.591081 0.859585